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22 villages in Punjab's Multan district partially submerged under floodwaters

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LAHORE: At least 22 mouzas (villages) in Multan district have been submerged under three to four feet of floodwater from the River Chenab, forcing thousands of residents to move to safer places, while standing crops over large tracts have also been damaged, according to the district administration’s latest flood situation report.

The report compiled by the assistant commissioners, available with Dawn, said the district has 545 mouzas, of which 138 are flood-prone.

It said 22 mouzas have been partially inundated with up to 3-4 feet of water, including four in Multan Saddar, seven in Shujaabad and 11 in Jalalpur Pirwala tehsils.

Residents said the advancing floodwater drove thousands of people to relocate with their cattle to safer areas, while cotton, fodder and other standing crops were submerged, causing substantial agricultural losses.

The district administration said no mouza had been categorised as severely affected and no formal evacuation order had been issued. It added that water levels were receding and the situation was being monitored closely across all four tehsils.

In Multan Saddar, the affected mouzas are Abu Hatta, Vellan, Dhello and Zaman Pur. In Shujaabad, floodwaters have inundated Soman, Pounta, Tahir Pur, Marha, Agar Khawani, Dhundoon and Wanis.

The largest number of affected villages is in Jalalpur Pirwala, where Ripri, Manik Wali, Jung Wala, Narol, Wacha Sandila, Shahpur Lamma, Bait Kaitch Janubi, Shehni Shumali, Shehni Janubi and Bait Qaiser, among others, have been affected.

Civil society activist Majid Zahoor told Dawn that two union councils (UCs) of Tehsil Jalalpur, including Bait Kaitch and UC Sheeni of Jalalpur Pirwala, were submerged.

He said that all zamindara bunds constructed by locals on their own to stop the water from entering their crops and houses were washed away by the water.

Meanwhile, Multan Deputy Commissioner Dr Faisal Saleem said the flood wave in the River Chenab had receded to around 110,000 cusecs, but the district administration would remain on high alert until the river fully returned to normal.

He added that only minor inundation had occurred in a few riverine settlements, while residents living along the Chenab belt had been advised to remain vigilant and follow official instructions.

The DC also urged citizens to rely only on authentic government sources for updates on the flood situation and avoid rumours.

Separately, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) said a low-level flood continued at Kalabagh and Taunsa on Indus River, while water flows in all other major rivers remained within normal limits.

According to the PDMA’s latest river situation report, Indus River recorded an inflow of 262,219 cusecs and an outflow of 253,979 cusecs at Kalabagh, and an inflow of 310,407 cusecs and an outflow of 290,407 cusecs at Taunsa, both remaining at low flood level.

At Tarbela, inflow stood at 246,000 cusecs and outflow at 242,100 cusecs, while Chashma recorded an inflow of 245,382 cusecs and an outflow of 236,582 cusecs, both at normal levels.

Similarly, Chenab River continued to flow within normal limits, with 92,901 cusecs recorded at Marala, 98,403 cusecs at Khanki, 89,017 cusecs at Qadirabad, 110,677 cusecs at Trimmu and 134,622 cusecs at Panjnad.

Jhelum River also remained normal, with 80,000 cusecs recorded at Mangla and 7,491 cusecs at Rasul.

On Ravi River, flows remained normal at Jassar, Shahdara, Balloki and Sidhnai, while Sutlej was also flowing within normal limits at Ganda Singh Wala, Sulemanki and Islam Head.

The PDMA warned that forecast rainfall in the upper catchment areas could increase flows in the eastern rivers and adjoining nullahs, raising the risk of flash floods.

It also cautioned about possible urban flooding in Lahore, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Gujrat, Sialkot, Faisalabad and Multan, and landslides in Murree, Galiyat and other hilly areas.

The authority urged people living in riverbeds to move to safer locations and advised the public to avoid unnecessary visits to rivers, canals and rain-fed streams. Flood relief camps were established in vulnerable areas where essential facilities and medicines were being provided.

Showers in Islamabad, parts of Punjab

Parts of Punjab and Islamabad received rain on Wednesday morning, marking the onset of a fresh monsoon spell in the country just as a previous one that caused flooding in several areas of Punjab and over 100 deaths ended.

An update by the Water and Sanitation Agency (Wasa) at 11:30am said the highest amount of rainfall in the city by then was recorded in Tajpura at 44.8 millimetres.

It was followed by 44.4mm of rain in Mughalpura, 32.8 in Shadipura, 31.4 at Pani Wala Talab, 29mm at Chowk Nakhuda, 26.8mm in Johar Town, 26mm in Mannawan, 22.4mm at Lakshmi Chowk, 16.4mm in Farrukhabad, 7.6mm in Saggian, 6.2mm in Nishtar Town and 5.8mm at Upper Mall.

Gulshan-i-Ravi received 1mm of rain while 0.8mm of rainfall was recorded at Jail Road and 0.2mm in Iqbal Town. Trace amounts of rainfall were also recorded at Kahna, Hdyara Defence Road, Samanabad, Airport and the Wasa head office in Gulberg.

Separately, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said that several areas of Sialkot, as well Jhelum, Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Narowal, Mangla and Murree also received showers between 2am and 5am.

According to a report by the Met Office, 54mm of rain was recorded in the Sialkot city during this period while Jhelum, Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Narowal, and Murree also received showers.

SK Hynix Reports Strong Earnings, Defying A.I. Market Jitters

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SK Hynix, a leading memory chipmaker, reported stratospheric sales and profits on Wednesday. But it was not enough to calm skittish investors.

Michigan cyclosporiasis cases surpass 10,000

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Michigan health officials reported 10,077 cases of cyclosporiasis ​on Wednesday, an increase of 397 cases since their ‌last update a day earlier.

An investigation by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has linked the outbreak to iceberg lettuce served ​at Taco Bell restaurants sourced from privately held ​Taylor Farms operations in central Mexico, but authorities are ⁠still looking for other potential sources given the size ​of the outbreak.

Consumers in the U.S. have been steering clear ​of some restaurant chains and buying less lettuce in grocery stores as a multistate outbreak of a parasitic disease has fueled confusion over ​what is safe to eat.

Michigan’s health department has reported ​160 hospitalizations as of July 23, but no deaths.

The Centers for ‌Disease ⁠Control and Prevention has received reports of 6,707 laboratory-confirmed domestic cases of cyclosporiasis, and said it was aware of more than 11,500 additional cases that are not laboratory confirmed ​or require further ​investigation across ⁠45 states.

Health officials have said they are investigating additional potential sources of infection. In ​North Carolina, parsley and cilantro were commonly identified ​ingredients ⁠among people who fell ill, though there could be multiple sources of exposure, according to the state’s health department.

Cyclosporiasis, caused ⁠by ​the cyclospora parasite, can be contracted ​by consuming food — typically raw fruits and vegetables — or water contaminated with ​feces.

Michigan battles massive cyclosporiasis outbreak

Iran War Live Updates: New Strikes Threaten to Engulf More Countries in Conflict

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The U.S. and Saudi Arabia said they had carried out joint airstrikes on Iranian proxies in Iraq, and Iran launched an attack on sites in Jordan.

Can Anyone Spare a Buck For Texas?

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One of America’s most competitive Senate races features a surprising dynamic: The big Republican committees aren’t spending yet.

Re-polling demand, Form-47 jibe and doomsday talk — PPP, PML-N continue to trade barbs over Mirpur election results

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PPP Chairperson Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari continued his tirade against the PML-N — an ally of his party in the Centre — on Wednesday, reiterating his allegations in the first phase of Azad Jammu and Kashmir elections and demanding re-polling.

Addressing a PPP workers’ convention in Muzaffarabad, he called on the Election Commission to hold re-polling in Mirpur if “you are not involved in this rigging”.

Directly taking a jibe at Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Punjab Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz, he said: “If someone is sitting on the PM’s seat, or someone is sitting on the CM’s position today, even a child knows that it is not because of the people’s votes or your performance but because of Form-47.”

Form-47 is the provisional consolidated statement of results of the vote count of all polling stations in a constituency, prepared by the returning officer (RO) concerned. The term has been used mainly by the opposition PTI since the 2024 general elections in the country when alleging rigging in the polls.

Elections in AJK are being held in three phases over security concerns, and the PML-N won nine out of a total 13 seats up for grabs in the first phase in Mirpur, according to provisional results.

Bilawal’s allegations on Wednesday were in continuation of his party’s accusations from the day before, when the PPP and the PML-N traded barbs over election results, with Maryam saying in a televised address that it was “not the state that decides election results, but the people”. She also urged the PPP to accept defeat.

Shortly before Bilawal’s speech on Wednesday, she, too, took a jibe at the PPP on X, saying: “The PPP, which is the master of the fine art of rigging, is crying foul. When’s the doomsday?”

Responding to her on X, PPP’s Sharjeel Memon said, “This is not you speaking but Form-47. Doomsday came in 2024, when mandates were being distributed in charity.”

‘Product of rigging’

For his part, Bilawal assailed the PML-N, claiming that the party was a “product of rigging”.

Drawing a contrast with his own party, Bilawal said that the PPP’s track record “dated back three generations”.

He went on to claim that “there has not been a single election where the PML-N has won through the people’s vote […], but always due to rigging”.

“Do they think we will allow them to rig the elections in Kashmir?” Bilawal asked rhetorically. “The Kashmiri people will not bow down and let anyone steal their mandate,” he added.

“This is Muzaffarabad, not Srinagar,” the PPP chairman said, vowing that his party would ensure that the opposing side’s “rigging attempts go in vain”.

Speaking about Monday’s elections, Bilawal wondered how PPP candidate Chaudhry Yasin could have lost given his performance in the previous election.

“In General Faiz’s era, when Chaudhry Yasin won both the seats he was contesting despite his sons being imprisoned, and shots fired at him, then how can I accept the results in this election?”

Bilawal claimed that Yasin’s win was “turned into a defeat” when the PML-N seized Mirpur’s 30 polling stations, for which Bilawal claimed he had “video evidence”.

He further claimed that the voter turnout at the 30 polling stations was 90 per cent while in most constituencies the turnout was hardly 40-50pc.

The PPP chairman promised his party’sworkers that he will “take back every single stolen vote”.

He said he was ready to accept defeat but added that “if you are going to steal our mandate by rigging the election, then I cannot accept these results”.

Bilawal also reiterated PPP’s recommendation regarding the formation of a truth and reconciliation commission to address the ongoing unrest in AJK.

“I am not presenting this proposal on behalf of the state or the protesters, but on behalf of every Kashmiri who does not belong to either.”

He called on both sides — the government and the now proscribed Joint Awami Action Committee — to accept the demand. “If you walk the righteous path and if you are on the side of the truth, then why are you not forming the commission?” he asked.

Bilawal asked the crowd to vote for the PPP in the upcoming phase of the election on August 2, stating: “Convey the message to Poonch, Rawalakot and Islamabad that Muzaffarabad demands a truth and reconciliation commission be formed.”

The PPP chairman stressed that he wanted to ensure for the people of Kashmir “the right to governance and the right to employment” but held that he would not do so by locking down the city. Instead, he said he would do so by gaining power through the electoral process.

He assured the crowd that he would ensure AJK’s representation in Islamabad and at forums such as the National Finance Commission (NFC) and the Council of Common Interests (CCI).

Bilawal further stated that when PPP spoke of employment in the region, it did so because the leadership was cognisant of the “economic crisis” in AJK. He then again took a jibe at PML-N, whose economic philosophy, Bilawal claimed, was guided by the principle that “the rich should get richer”.

“They taunt us and tell us that we want to turn Kashmir into Sindh. No, I want Kashmir to stay Kashmir and let the people decide its fate,” Bilawal said.

“Punjab, Islamabad, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Sindh or Balochistan cannot decide Kashmir’s future.”

‘Commission’s role exposed’

Addressing a press conference in Lahore on Wednesday, PPP Central Punjab General Secretary Hassan Murtaza claimed that the rigging had “exposed the commission’s role and the robbery of the PPP’s mandate in broad daylight”.

He alleged that “such rigging had never been seen before in Pakistan”.

“In Charhoi, from where Chaudhry Yasin was contesting, 30 polling stations were held hostage, and when the polling time ended, polling agents were not allowed to sit together,” he claimed. Murtaza added that in Javed Badhanvi’s constituency, similar tactics were employed.

“And on the day of polling, our worker Mukhtar Younis was martyred,” he said.

He added that polling stations in Chaudhry Ikhlaq’s constituency were also taken hostage, and so were those in Chaudhry Pervaiz Ashraf’s constituency, where Murtaza claimed he was in “close competition”.

Murtaza alleged that holding the elections in phases was done to “enable rigging”. Speaking about the role of the AJK Election Commission, the PPP leader likened its role to that of Punjab’s Crime Control Department.

“It was deciding who is to be half-fried and full fried, whose polling agents to pick and what polling stations to seize,” he said, adding that “extending the voting time by one hour was done so they could get time to stamp votes for the PML-N”.

“The AJK Election Commission played the role of a commissioned agent,” he remarked. He said that PPP leaders brought the issue to the commission’s attention and had urged it not to facilitate rigging.

“We kept telling you that buses were being given away and the code of conduct was being violated and you only took notice when the whole of social media assailed you for it,” he said.

He recalled that a day earlier, CM Maryam made a statement over “how the PPP had nothing to show for itself”.

At this, he said: “The past is witness that it was the PPP who got AJK the right to engage in parliamentary politics.”

He added that during the PPP’s six months in power in AJK, the region’s then-premier Faisal Mumtaz Rathore had accepted 35 of the demands of the proscribed Joint Awami Action Committee (JAAC) “with one executive order”.

However, he noted that there were two demands where the “federal government was involved or it required constitutional amendments”.

He said that PPP leaders Raja Pervaiz Ashraf and Qamar Zaman Qaira were part of the negotiating team that “begged the protesters for two weeks so all stakeholders may be brought on board, but the group did not accept the request”.

However, he held that JAAC’s refusal did not mean that the state should end the negotiating process altogether and the PPP’s proposal for a truth and reconciliation commission be dismissed.

“If the state had shown some flexibility, the issue could have been resolved,” he added.

The PPP has repeatedly called for the establishment of a truth and reconciliation commission amid protests in AJK.

Over the past month, the regional administration and the JAAC have been at odds over various issues — most notably the committee’s demand to abolish the 12 seats in the region’s Legislative Assembly reserved for refugees from Indian-occupied Jammu and Kashmir who settled in mainland Pakistan after 1947, which has resulted in protests across the region.

Ashraf calls for probe

Separately, PPP’s Ashraf addressed a press conference in Islamabad, where he presented what he described as evidence for the alleged rigging.

“The other day, I demanded that the chief election commissioner should immediately decide on the constituencies where we have raised objections,” he said, calling for an investigation “based on fact and evidence”.

He asked if the party did not have the right to approach the relevant forum over the matter, stressing that “only the people of Pakistan and Kashmir can be judges of the issue”.

He also objected to statements by the PML-N leadership advising PPP to “move on”, raising alarm that PPP’s “legitimate grievances” were not being taken into account. The PPP leader then went on to show “video evidence” of the alleged rigging.

“In this video in LA-12, a person can be seen picking up ballot papers and setting them on fire, along with 100-150 people who were led by the PML-N candidate,” the leader claimed.

At this, Ashraf said he had brought the incident to the AJK Chief Justice Raja Saeed Akram Khan’s attention and asked: “It has been more than 48 hours since we brought this to your notice, but has there been any action taken against this person?”

He continued: “How are you telling us to be brave and move on as the elections are when there are still two phases left?”

He warned of serious repercussions given the lack of accountability for such conduct. The PPP leader then went on to highlight discrepancies in the results from some of the polling stations in the Mirpur division.

“In polling station no.15 in LA-12, the total registered votes were 785, and the PML-N candidates secured 639 votes while our candidate got 12 votes and yet the results show that total votes were cast.”

He pointed out that the polling station was in Charhoi, where he claimed at least 25pc of the people lived abroad and went on to question how every registered voter could have shown up.

He noted that some of the polling stations had voter turnout of up to 99pc. At this, he remarked: “This can only happen when you are sitting down and stamping the ballot papers yourself”.

“This is the story of the injustice I wanted to tell you,” he said, urging PML-N leadership to go to AJK and speak to the people.

He warned: “If we sweep everything under the rug, then people are going to lose their faith in the election process.”

Ashraf called on the AJK chief justice to pay attention to the issue, questioning how the total turnout could have jumped to such a significant extent in AJK.

“You have ensured the PPP was defeated, and you have done a lot of planning [..], but when you pull such a move, there is always a trace,” he said. He called on AJK Chief Election Commissioner retired Justice Ghulam Mustafa Mughal to make a decision.

“This is the third day, and you should have stopped the process when our complaints started coming in,” he said.

Azma tells PPP to be ‘ashamed’; Sharjeel accuses PML-N of ‘dictator mindset’

Sindh Senior Minister Sharjeel Inam Memon and Punjab’s Information Minister Azma Bokhari traded barbs as well, with Bokhari telling PPP to be “ashamed” of its performance in Sindh while Memon, in response, accused the PML-N of governing Punjab with a “dictator mindset” and through a “fake mandate”.

Addressing a press conference, Bokhari criticised the PPP Chairman Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari, saying that Bilawal was trying to “imitate someone” without naming them.

“The PML-N leadership never used abusive language nor targeted anyone whenever they addressed a gathering. They only talked about their progress, especially the work CM Maryam has done in the last 18 months,” she emphasised.

During her address, Azma questioned, “Why was Karachi, Sindh’s provincial capital, at the mercy of the tanker mafia? Why does a big city like Karachi have no transport system while Punjab was running 1100 buses? Why was trash not being picked up from the roads of Karachi?” she asked.

“No leader from PPP can answer these questions.”

She also presented a progress report of the development work carried out in Punjab by the PML-N government, stating that in comparison, the PPP should be “ashamed” of its performance in Sindh in the last 18 years.

In response to Bokhari, Memon accused the PML-N of coming into power through rigging in the 2024 General Election and said that the party intended to assume power in AJK in the same way.

He said that the PPP formed a coalition with PML-N after the elections for the sake of the parliamentary process. “This is not a lie or an accusation, but the PML-N came into power through a fake mandate; even children of Pakistan know this,” he stated.

He said that Mirpur is called the second United Kingdom because half of its population lives in different cities of the country. “In Yaseen Sahab’s constituency, there were only 20 polling stations, but the PML-N took up to 99.4pc votes,” he claimed, questioning how it was possible.

“The PPP in any situation will not tolerate exploitation of the people of AJK. The PML-N is conspiring to steal the mandate of Kashmir’s people; however, they will not be able to,” he said.

He said in another constituency, 110pc votes were cast — more than the total votes registered in the polling station — and demanded the AJK Election Commission take notice of this immediately.

Memon further demanded re-polling in the constituencies where PPP had reservations.

He further criticised Punjab CM, stating that the PML-N was ruling Punjab with “a dictator’s mindset”.

Memon also recalled the case of Hum News’s journalist Khurram Iqbal, who, he claimed, had been “arrested and tortured” for tweeting about Maryam.

The senior minister said that no television channel could run a ticker about the aftermath of rain in Punjab, fearing they may lose government advertising.

Daily Mail seeks $13 million after Prince Harry loses lawsuit

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LONDON – Associated Newspapers sought an interim payment of £10 million ($13.3 million) from Prince Harry and other high-profile claimants on Wednesday after they lost their privacy ​lawsuits against the Daily Mail publisher.

Earlier this month, a judge at ‌London’s High Court comprehensively ruled against Harry, singer Elton John and other high-profile British figures, rejecting allegations that the Mail titles had engaged in widespread unlawful activities, such as phone ​hacking.

The prince, 41, described the ruling as a “complete and obvious whitewash”, ​while Associated said it was an overwhelming victory for its newspaper ⁠and journalists, and “for a free press generally”.

At a hearing on Wednesday to ​determine liability for legal costs, Associated’s lawyer Antony White argued that Harry and ​the other claimants should pay costs on an indemnity basis, under which the losing party must cover the other side’s charges without the need to show they were proportionate.

In a ​scathing attack on the claimants’ case, which he said had been designed to ​create “a banquet of litigation” against Associated, White argued they had made wide-ranging and serious allegations ‌without ⁠supporting evidence.

In written submissions, Associated sought an interim payment of nearly £10 million.

Lawyers for the claimants said in their submissions that Associated had reported incurring “a simply extraordinary £34.5 million” in costs, far exceeding its agreed budget. They offered an interim payment ​of £8 million by ​August 28 and ⁠said the claimants had insurance cover of up to £16 million.

“Of course, the (claimants) accept that their claims have been dismissed and ​it is appropriate that an order for costs on ​the standard ⁠basis follows the event,” the submission said.

“But the further penalty of an indemnity costs basis order is not one which, in all the circumstances, should be imposed.”

In ⁠his ​ruling, Judge Matthew Nicklin said the claimants had ​needed to prove that information published about them had been obtained unlawfully, but had failed to do ​so, and that suspicion alone was not enough.

BTS Won’t Enter Music From Comeback Album for Grammy Awards

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The group’s decision comes a month after the Recording Academy announced five new award categories, including one for Best Asian Pop Music Performance.

Wildlife official takes notice of wild boar sighting near Fateh Jang, urges caution

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ATTOCK – Assistant Chief Wildlife Ranger Attock, Ms. Rizwana Aziz, has taken immediate notice of a viral social media video claiming a wild boar attack on women near Fateh Jang and urged citizens to remain cautious while visiting forested and water areas.

The video, which circulated widely on social media, claimed that wild boars had attacked women who had gone to fetch water near the Baba Mian Wala well on Tehsil Road near Fateh Jang city. 

Taking prompt action, Ms. Rizwana Aziz visited the site and spoke with local residents to verify the facts.

During the inquiry, locals clarified that the wild boars had not attacked the women. According to residents, the women were startled after suddenly spotting the animals and became frightened, but no one was harmed. “Fortunately, the women are completely safe,” officials confirmed.

Speaking about the incident, Assistant Chief Wildlife Ranger Ms. Rizwana Aziz said that wild boars do not usually attack humans and are not animals that cause harm without reason. 

“Wild boars generally avoid contact with people. However, if they are teased, or if a female with young feels threatened, she may show a defensive reaction,” she explained.She appealed to residents, especially women who come to fetch water, to take precautionary measures. 

Ms. Rizwana Aziz advised citizens to visit water points after sunrise in the morning and before sunset in the evening. 

“Visibility is better at that time, so people can stay alert. Wild animals also usually stay away from humans during daylight hours,” she said.

Wildlife officials have further requested citizens to  refrain from sharing unverified information about wildlife incidents on social media and contact the relevant wildlife or district administration agencies in case of any emergency or wildlife sighting.

The Wildlife Department said it is committed to ensuring public safety while also protecting wildlife in the district. Officials emphasized that coexistence is possible through awareness and timely reporting. Replying to a question, she said that FIRs are registered against those individuals involved in illegal hunting and penalised as per the rules.

How does the US policy toward Taiwan affects Sino-US relations?

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Since the establishment of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in 1949, one of the significant dimensions in Sino-US relations has been the issue of Taiwan. For China, it is a matter of sovereignty and territorial integrity, while the US treats it as a geostrategic issue to counter China’s rise. This insight examines how US policy toward Taiwan influences Sino-US relations. 

Historically, the Taiwan issue is rooted in the Chinese Civil War (1927-1949). After the civil war ended, the then-ruling party in China, the Kuomintang (KMT), fled to Taiwan following its defeat by the Communist Party of China (CPC). The KMT, under Chiang Kai-shek, established its government in Taiwan, forming the Republic of China (ROC). In contrast, the CPC, under Mao Zedong, established the communist government in Beijing. In 1971, the PRC was admitted to the UN, and Taiwan was expelled, but the US upheld Taiwan as the legitimate government until 1979. In 1979, the US formally recognised China but maintained unofficial relations with Taiwan under the KMT by potentially breaching the One-China policy agreed under the Three Joint Communiqués between China and the US. 

China considers the long-standing Taiwan issue an internal political matter of sovereignty and an integral part of the “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” which cannot be achieved without the unification of Taiwan. China opposes defense, economic, political, and diplomatic relations between Taiwan and the rest of the world. 

However, the US continues to maintain strong relations with Taiwan. Taiwan relies mostly on US security support and weapon supplies, even though there is no formal security treaty between them. The US is neither authorising military intervention nor clearly assuring China that military intervention will not occur in the event of a conflict between China and Taiwan.  

Despite the 1982 US-China joint Communiqué to reduce US arms sales to Taiwan, Washington continues to increase arms sales, with $39.6 billion worth of weapons scheduled for 2026, and to increase the number of US trainers for Taiwanese forces from 500 to 1,000 in 2026.  

The US arms sales to Taiwan are among the most controversial issues in US-China relations. Since 1990, US arms sales to Taiwan have grown at an average of $2.41 billion per year. As China considers Taiwan an internal matter, any arms sales are considered as an interference in China’s internal affairs. 

Taiwan’s geostrategic location is of critical importance to both China and the US. Located along critical sea lines of communication in the Western Pacific, the island is central to regional security and global trade, and any military confrontation in the Taiwan Strait could severely disrupt international commerce and maritime traffic. Continued regional instability due to China-Taiwan tension benefits the ‘US Strategy of Disruption against China’. 

Taiwan also plays a significant role in the US-China semiconductor rivalry. Taiwan produces 68.3% of the world’s semiconductors, of which 2% are exported directly to the US. In addition, in January 2026, the US and Taiwan signed a $500 billion Chips Deal that included plans to build semiconductor industrial parks in Arizona.  

The US is also Taiwan’s largest trade partner, reaching a trade volume of $256 billion in 2025. The growing US-Taiwan trade increases Washington’s influence in Taipei, reduces economic dependence on China, and enhances Taiwan’s international legitimacy, complicating peaceful unification.

Reunification of Taiwan has always been central to Beijing’s long-standing goal of achieving national rejuvenation by 2049. To ensure peaceful reunification, China is using various political, economic, and diplomatic tools. In China’s strategic communication, there is also an increasing reference to specific historical documents, such as the 1943 Cairo Declaration and the 1945 Potsdam Proclamation, which call for Chinese control over all territories that Japan seized during World War II.

From China’s perspective, the increasing political divisions within Taiwan over relations with the US present an opportunity to weaken domestic consensus and improve the chances for a political settlement on terms more favorable to Beijing. The current two main opposition political parties, the KMT since 2005 and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) since 2019, have adopted a pro-engagement stance with China and have become strong opponents of the pro-sovereignty ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). 

The KMT and TPP oppose increasing the defense budget and blocked the US-Taiwan joint weapons development plan (2026-2034), labeling it as making the Taiwan Strait a “powder keg.”  In the near future, the Taiwan issue is likely to remain one of the most important factors shaping Sino–US relations. The US may continue supporting Taiwan while maintaining its long-standing policy of strategic ambiguity. China, on the other hand, is most likely to use a mix of peaceful political means, economic incentives, along with long-term political, economic, and social pressures to ensure reunification. 

Concurrently, the “One Country, Two Systems” formula continues to represent a potential framework through which China seeks to reconcile its objective of reunification. Looking ahead, the stability of the Taiwan Strait will depend on how effectively both powers manage their strategic competition and communication.

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